Path to NT power paved with promises of more police

Promises of more police are paving the path to power on election eve in the Northern Territory.

Almost 74,000 Territorians have cast their vote and with turnout usually lower in the NT, this could account for nearly two thirds of the overall vote heading into polling day.

Margins were extremely tight in nine of the 25 seats at the 2020 election and despite Labor's victory, eight seats were won by less than 120 votes. Of those, four were won by less than 50 votes.

Country Liberal Party leader Lia Finocchiaro
Opposition Leader Lia Finocchiaro spoke directly to police officers at a conference on election eve.

One day out from polling day, Opposition Leader Lia Finocchiaro opened the Northern Territory Police Association members conference with a direct appeal to the constabulary.

"We know that under eight years of Labor, our police have been ignored. They feel abandoned," the Country Liberal Party leader told media outside the conference on Friday.

"They're leaving in droves, and crime is through the roof, and so a focus on community safety is not only important for our police, it's important for the future of the Northern Territory." 

Ms Finocchiaro said successive police surveys show 90 per cent of the rank-and-file felt unsupported by the Labor government. 

The NT is Australia's most policed jurisdiction, however successive employment surveys have revealed low morale and trust in the government following the trial of former constable Zachary Rolfe.

Mr Rolfe shot and killed teen Kumanjayi Walker during a bungled arrest in the remote Northern Territory community of Yuendumu in November 2019.

He was charged with murder and acquitted after a Supreme Court trial. 

The impact of the ongoing inquest has placed significant pressure on the police department, with an independent review by a former police union boss and a commitment by both major parties to increase funding.

Northern Territory Chief Minister and Treasurer, Eva Lawler
Eva Lawler spoke of tough decisions she has made as the Northern Territory's chief minister.

On the hustings on Friday, Chief Minister Eva Lawler spoke outside Palmerston police station about the "tough decisions" she has made.

"We've seen the really tough decisions that I've had to make ... tough decisions like the curfew in Alice Springs," she told reporters on Friday.

"Tough decisions like ... supporting a gas deal for Territorians to make sure that the first gas out of the Beetaloo is gas for Territorians. 

"I think I was the first member of parliament in the whole of Australia to give the CFMEU a bit of a boot as well."

Despite leading an embattled government plagued by integrity scandals that toppled her predecessor and undermined her current deputy chief minister Chansey Paech, Ms Lawler said her government's biggest regret was not getting public schools funded earlier. 

"I thought early on, when I was education minister ... that we might have been able to get full funding through that Gonski 2.0 and then poor old (former federal education minister) Simon Birmingham got sacked," she said.

File photo of voter casting ballot.
Low voter turnout could mean the path to power is not straightforward for either major party.

The race to power on Saturday may not be as straightforward as either leader had hoped, with independents gaining traction in key seats and a lower-than-expected voter turnout.

Remote polling in bush seats is well below 2020 numbers and could seriously impact Labor's chances in seats such as Daly, Arnhem and Arafura.

A low turnout in Daly could impact Labor's chances of retaining the seat, Charles Darwin University professor Rolf Gerritsen told the ABC.

He said Daly is "in effect" two electorates split by the north and south boundary which vote on different sides of the coin. 

"But the Indigenous vote is declining and that tends to support Labor."

After early voting, Daly sits just under 40 per cent turnout but concerns about ongoing sorry business in the region may see that plateau, Professor Gerritsen suggests.

Voting closes at 6pm on August 24.

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