'Whole series of data' before next rates call: RBA

The pace of inflation hit a six-month high in May, casting a shadow over interest rate cuts. (Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS)

A pick-up in the monthly inflation indicator had not gone unnoticed by Reserve Bank of Australia deputy governor Andrew Hauser, who says there is more economic data to absorb before the next interest rate meeting.

"It will be a bad mistake to set policy on the basis of one number and we don't intend to do that," he said after a speech at the Citi A50 Australian Economic Forum in Sydney on Thursday.

"There's a whole series of data coming out between now and when we meet in August."

Reserve Bank of Australia deputy governor Andrew Hauser
Returning inflation to target is the priority, deputy governor Andrew Hauser says.

Wednesday's inflation result prompted investors to ramp up their rate rise bets and spurred several economists to change their interest figure forecasts.

The four per cent rise in the 12 months to May took annual inflation to its highest reading in six months and was above consensus forecasts of 3.8 per cent.

But between now and then next interest rate meeting in August, the board would also get the more comprehensive quarterly inflation numbers, as well as statistics on jobs, retail and business conditions, Mr Hauser said.

He stepped through three key elements in the statement from the last interest rate meeting in June.

People shopping for food
Economists warn the latest inflation data could mean a longer wait for interest rate cuts.

"Inflation remains above target and is proving persistent, the outlook remains highly uncertain, and returning inflation to target is the priority," he said on Thursday.

"And all three of those things were true a month ago and they are true now."

Asked about persistent services inflation, the deputy governor said Australia was not alone, with other countries struggling to make progress on the price of services.

Stalled progress on reining in prices also has the federal government defending its budget strategy from suggestions it could add more fuel to the inflationary fire.

On Thursday, Treasurer Jim Chalmers said his government was on track to deliver a second surplus, which would weigh on consumer prices.

"But if those opposite want to say that spending in the budget is the primary determinant of inflation, then no wonder they left us with inflation much higher than it is now," he said in parliament.

Budget measures starting from July 1 - including energy bill relief - are expected to feed through to the consumer price index, though the RBA has said it plans to "look through" these temporary reductions.

The opposition says the government is leaving the central bank to do all the heavy lifting on inflation.

Shadow treasurer Angus Taylor said Labor had delivered "three failed budgets" that was keeping pressure on the RBA to keep rates higher for longer, or possible even to hike.

"There is no relief in sight for struggling families," Mr Taylor said in parliament.

Fresh job vacancy data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed the number of open roles down again in May.

Job vacancies were 2.7 per cent lower in May than in February, with the total number standing at 353,000, compared to the number of unemployed of 599,000.

The volume of open roles on offer have been steadily declining from peak levels in mid-2022, Thursday's job vacancy data showed, as global headwinds and higher interest rates buffet the economy.

Yet ABS head of labour statistics Bjorn Jarvis said vacancies were still well above their pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels, with around 55 per cent more vacancies than in February 2020.

License this article

What is AAPNews?

For the first time, Australian Associated Press is delivering news straight to the consumer.

No ads. No spin. News straight-up.

Not only do you get to enjoy high-quality news delivered straight to your desktop or device, you do so in the knowledge you are supporting media diversity in Australia.

AAP Is Australia’s only independent newswire service, free from political and commercial influence, producing fact-based public interest journalism across a range of topics including politics, courts, sport, finance and entertainment.

What is AAPNews?
The Morning Wire

Wake up to AAPNews’ morning news bulletin delivered straight to your inbox or mobile device, bringing you up to speed with all that has happened overnight at home and abroad, as well as setting you up what the day has in store.

AAPNews Morning Wire
AAPNews Breaking News
Breaking News

Be the first to know when major breaking news happens.


Notifications will be sent to your device whenever a big story breaks, ensuring you are never in the dark when the talking points happen.

Focused Content

Enjoy the best of AAP’s specialised Topics in Focus. AAP has reporters dedicated to bringing you hard news and feature content across a range of specialised topics including Environment, Agriculture, Future Economies, Arts and Refugee Issues.

AAPNews Focussed Content
Subscription Plans

Choose the plan that best fits your needs. AAPNews offers two basic subscriptions, all billed monthly.

Once you sign up, you will have seven days to test out the service before being billed.

AAPNews Full Access Plan
Full Access
AU$10
  • Enjoy all that AAPNews has to offer
  • Access to breaking news notifications and bulletins
  • Includes access to all AAPNews’ specialised topics
Join Now
AAPNews Student Access Plan
Student Access
AU$5
  • Gain access via a verified student email account
  • Enjoy all the benefits of the ‘Full Access’ plan at a reduced rate
  • Subscription renews each month
Join Now
AAPNews Annual Access Plan
Annual Access
AU$99
  • All the benefits of the 'Full Access' subscription at a discounted rate
  • Subscription automatically renews after 12 months
Join Now

AAPNews also offers enterprise deals for businesses so you can provide an AAPNews account for your team, organisation or customers. Click here to contact AAP to sign-up your business today.

SEVEN DAYS FREE
Download the app
Download AAPNews on the App StoreDownload AAPNews on the Google Play Store