'Tough fight': by-election campaign enters final week

Candidates in a federal by-election are making their final pitches to voters as the government gears up for its first major ballot-box litmus test.

The Dunkley electorate, located in Melbourne's southeast will go to a by-election on Saturday after Labor MP Peta Murphy died in December following a battle with breast cancer. 

Labor holds the seat with a 6.3 per cent margin, but during by-elections, the swing in government-held seats is generally around seven per cent, putting the electorate within reach for the Liberal Party.

Standing alongside Labor candidate Jodie Belyea, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese acknowledged the difficulty of the battle.

"We know that it's a tough fight," he told Seven's Sunrise from Frankston on Sunday.

"But we've got the best candidate for this seat.

"Jodie will be that and ... there's lots of volunteers out here who want to make sure that Peta Murphy's legacy is carried on in this fantastic community."

But the by-election will not be a cake walk for the coalition either, opposition home affairs spokesman James Paterson said.

"There's been some disingenuous expectation," he told Sky News.

"This is a tough by-election for the Liberal Party."

Senator Paterson said the swing expected in Dunkley had been overstated.

When a former MP dies, voters are less likely to aim their ire at the government.

"I've been on the pre poll booths in Dunkley, there's no anger towards the government for this by election, which is obviously understandable," Senator Paterson said.

"That's not what I've experienced in other by-elections where a member has resigned or retired early - where there is often anger at the very existence of the by election. 

"I think we'll get a strong swing, but it will be an extraordinary thing to get a swing of more than 6.3 per cent and win the seat."

A community advocate, Ms Belyea is going head-to-head with Liberal candidate and local mayor Nathan Conroy.

With pre-polling already underway, voters have begun making their opinions known but the prime minister remains confident that his government's much-discussed changes to tax cuts have been well-received.

"Every single taxpayer here ... will receive a tax cut and that will make an enormous difference," he said from the Dunkley electorate.

License this article

What is AAPNews?

For the first time, Australian Associated Press is delivering news straight to the consumer.

No ads. No spin. News straight-up.

Not only do you get to enjoy high-quality news delivered straight to your desktop or device, you do so in the knowledge you are supporting media diversity in Australia.

AAP Is Australia’s only independent newswire service, free from political and commercial influence, producing fact-based public interest journalism across a range of topics including politics, courts, sport, finance and entertainment.

What is AAPNews?
The Morning Wire

Wake up to AAPNews’ morning news bulletin delivered straight to your inbox or mobile device, bringing you up to speed with all that has happened overnight at home and abroad, as well as setting you up what the day has in store.

AAPNews Morning Wire
AAPNews Breaking News
Breaking News

Be the first to know when major breaking news happens.


Notifications will be sent to your device whenever a big story breaks, ensuring you are never in the dark when the talking points happen.

Focused Content

Enjoy the best of AAP’s specialised Topics in Focus. AAP has reporters dedicated to bringing you hard news and feature content across a range of specialised topics including Environment, Agriculture, Future Economies, Arts and Refugee Issues.

AAPNews Focussed Content
Subscription Plans

Choose the plan that best fits your needs. AAPNews offers two basic subscriptions, all billed monthly.

Once you sign up, you will have seven days to test out the service before being billed.

AAPNews Full Access Plan
Full Access
AU$10
  • Enjoy all that AAPNews has to offer
  • Access to breaking news notifications and bulletins
  • Includes access to all AAPNews’ specialised topics
Join Now
AAPNews Student Access Plan
Student Access
AU$5
  • Gain access via a verified student email account
  • Enjoy all the benefits of the ‘Full Access’ plan at a reduced rate
  • Subscription renews each month
Join Now
AAPNews Annual Access Plan
Annual Access
AU$99
  • All the benefits of the 'Full Access' subscription at a discounted rate
  • Subscription automatically renews after 12 months
Join Now

AAPNews also offers enterprise deals for businesses so you can provide an AAPNews account for your team, organisation or customers. Click here to contact AAP to sign-up your business today.

SEVEN DAYS FREE
Download the app
Download AAPNews on the App StoreDownload AAPNews on the Google Play Store