Tough year ahead for low-income earners, renters: RBA

Low-income families, renters and those in debt face challenges in the year ahead, the RBA warns. (Steven Saphore/AAP PHOTOS)

Families on low incomes, renters and those with large debts face the prospect of economic challenges over the coming year, the nation's central bank has warned.

In its latest half-yearly Financial Stability Review, the Reserve Bank of Australia said the global economic outlook had improved following a peak in inflation but risks remained high for many local households and businesses.

"This is especially true for low-income households, including many renters, and the indebted households already facing acute budget pressures," the review, released on Friday, said.

"These pressures are expected to gradually ease over the next few years as inflation declines and real incomes rise."

Despite the warning, the RBA painted an upbeat picture for the many households that were managing to service their debts.

A strong labour market, large savings and rising house prices were helping households weather challenging economic times, it said.

"Many households have made adjustments, including reducing their discretionary spending and saving, increasing their hours of work, and some have drawn down on saving buffers," the central bank added.

Borrowers have been sweating on an expected cut to official interest rates after a string of quick-fire rises to stifle inflation, although hopes of a near-term cut took a hit with a surprise jobs boom in official employment data on Thursday.

The drop in the February unemployment rate to 3.7 per cent - down from 4.1 per cent in January - came despite soaring living costs hitting many households and businesses hard.

Rents have risen sharply in most capital cities, driven by an acute shortage of available properties during a period of booming population growth.

In its review, the RBA cautioned businesses that conditions would remain tough due in part to subdued sales growth.

Adding to the pain ahead was the likelihood that strong growth in labour and other costs was expected to only gradually slow down.

On the upside, the RBA said the overall profitability levels and strong balance sheets among businesses reduced the risk of widespread financial stress, while arrears on bank loans to firms were low.

It pointed to issues in China's financial system as a key risk, saying problems there could dent local growth via reduced demand for Australian goods and services.

The central bank has previously warned of slowing growth in China and a sharp deterioration in property market conditions there increasing risks to the Asian superpower's financial system.

The latest RBA release comes after the central bank kept official interest rates at a 12-year high of 4.35 per cent for a third consecutive meeting amid a slowing economy.

The widely expected hold came with a shift in language in a post-meeting statement that edited out an explicit reference to more hikes, interpreted as an easing of a tightening bias and fuelling hopes of rate cuts ahead.

National Australia Bank economists said the RBA review showed households had been resilient to interest rate rises, showing that borrowers could cope with even higher mortgage costs if required.

"The RBA’s analysis highlights the role the strong labour market has played, allowing mortgaged households to retain, and find more work (including through more hours)," they said.

License this article

What is AAPNews?

For the first time, Australian Associated Press is delivering news straight to the consumer.

No ads. No spin. News straight-up.

Not only do you get to enjoy high-quality news delivered straight to your desktop or device, you do so in the knowledge you are supporting media diversity in Australia.

AAP Is Australia’s only independent newswire service, free from political and commercial influence, producing fact-based public interest journalism across a range of topics including politics, courts, sport, finance and entertainment.

What is AAPNews?
The Morning Wire

Wake up to AAPNews’ morning news bulletin delivered straight to your inbox or mobile device, bringing you up to speed with all that has happened overnight at home and abroad, as well as setting you up what the day has in store.

AAPNews Morning Wire
AAPNews Breaking News
Breaking News

Be the first to know when major breaking news happens.


Notifications will be sent to your device whenever a big story breaks, ensuring you are never in the dark when the talking points happen.

Focused Content

Enjoy the best of AAP’s specialised Topics in Focus. AAP has reporters dedicated to bringing you hard news and feature content across a range of specialised topics including Environment, Agriculture, Future Economies, Arts and Refugee Issues.

AAPNews Focussed Content
Subscription Plans

Choose the plan that best fits your needs. AAPNews offers two basic subscriptions, all billed monthly.

Once you sign up, you will have seven days to test out the service before being billed.

AAPNews Full Access Plan
Full Access
AU$10
  • Enjoy all that AAPNews has to offer
  • Access to breaking news notifications and bulletins
  • Includes access to all AAPNews’ specialised topics
Join Now
AAPNews Student Access Plan
Student Access
AU$5
  • Gain access via a verified student email account
  • Enjoy all the benefits of the ‘Full Access’ plan at a reduced rate
  • Subscription renews each month
Join Now
AAPNews Annual Access Plan
Annual Access
AU$99
  • All the benefits of the 'Full Access' subscription at a discounted rate
  • Subscription automatically renews after 12 months
Join Now

AAPNews also offers enterprise deals for businesses so you can provide an AAPNews account for your team, organisation or customers. Click here to contact AAP to sign-up your business today.

SEVEN DAYS FREE
Download the app
Download AAPNews on the App StoreDownload AAPNews on the Google Play Store