Gloomy growth, interest rates sore points for Treasurer

The Australian economy is on track for another feeble quarter of growth propped up by firmer government spending.

June quarter national accounts due on Wednesday are expected to show an economy growing but only just, prompting the federal treasurer to manage expectations and fend off accusations of blame-shifting.

Analysts received the final pieces of the economic growth puzzle on Tuesday, which showed stronger-than-expected spending on public infrastructure and services.

The National Australia Bank bumped up its growth forecasts to 0.3 per cent for the three months to June, still weak, but an improvement on its previous estimate of 0.1 per cent.

Michele Bullock and Jim Chalmers
Treasurer Jim Chalmers says he and RBA governor Michele Bullock want to get on top of inflation.

Public demand will add 0.4 percentage points to growth in the June quarter, Tuesday's Australian Bureau of Statistics data showed, which was stronger than NAB had thought.

Net exports, the difference between exports and imports, will contribute 0.2 percentage points to the final count.

Global economic uncertainty, persistent price pressures and higher interest rates had been slowing the economy, Treasurer Jim Chalmers said on Tuesday.

Australia has been posting persistently below-trend growth, with the economy expanding a modest 0.1 per cent in the three months to March and 0.3 per cent in the December 2023 quarter.

Dr Chalmers hit back at suggestions he was trying to re-direct responsibility towards the Reserve Bank, saying it was a fact higher interest rates were slowing the economy and it was not unusual to point that out. 

"We've got different responsibilities, the governor and I," he told ABC news on Tuesday.

"But we've got the same objective and our objective is to get on top of this inflation challenge in our economy without making life harder for people or smashing an economy which is already weak enough." 

Dr Chalmers' criticism began in pre-emptive remarks before Wednesday's national accounts print, indicating higher interest rates were "smashing the economy".

Pedestrians and shoppers in Melbourne.
Household confidence has improved in the face of slow economic growth.

Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor said the government had contributed to inflation by spending too much and was trying to deflect blame.

"The problem with this treasurer is he is fighting everybody and everything except his own homegrown inflation," he told Sky News on Tuesday.

Despite the sluggish economy, consumers are feeling more optimistic.

Household confidence in future finances jumped to a five-month high last week, according to weekly surveys done by ANZ and Roy Morgan.

Inflation expectations also fell to 4.6 per cent, its lowest reading since 2021.

The fall follows a softening in the consumer price index last week, and bodes well for a central bank vying to keep inflation expectations anchored.

License this article

What is AAPNews?

For the first time, Australian Associated Press is delivering news straight to the consumer.

No ads. No spin. News straight-up.

Not only do you get to enjoy high-quality news delivered straight to your desktop or device, you do so in the knowledge you are supporting media diversity in Australia.

AAP Is Australia’s only independent newswire service, free from political and commercial influence, producing fact-based public interest journalism across a range of topics including politics, courts, sport, finance and entertainment.

What is AAPNews?
The Morning Wire

Wake up to AAPNews’ morning news bulletin delivered straight to your inbox or mobile device, bringing you up to speed with all that has happened overnight at home and abroad, as well as setting you up what the day has in store.

AAPNews Morning Wire
AAPNews Breaking News
Breaking News

Be the first to know when major breaking news happens.


Notifications will be sent to your device whenever a big story breaks, ensuring you are never in the dark when the talking points happen.

Focused Content

Enjoy the best of AAP’s specialised Topics in Focus. AAP has reporters dedicated to bringing you hard news and feature content across a range of specialised topics including Environment, Agriculture, Future Economies, Arts and Refugee Issues.

AAPNews Focussed Content
Subscription Plans

Choose the plan that best fits your needs. AAPNews offers two basic subscriptions, all billed monthly.

Once you sign up, you will have seven days to test out the service before being billed.

AAPNews Full Access Plan
Full Access
AU$10
  • Enjoy all that AAPNews has to offer
  • Access to breaking news notifications and bulletins
  • Includes access to all AAPNews’ specialised topics
Join Now
AAPNews Student Access Plan
Student Access
AU$5
  • Gain access via a verified student email account
  • Enjoy all the benefits of the ‘Full Access’ plan at a reduced rate
  • Subscription renews each month
Join Now
AAPNews Annual Access Plan
Annual Access
AU$99
  • All the benefits of the 'Full Access' subscription at a discounted rate
  • Subscription automatically renews after 12 months
Join Now

AAPNews also offers enterprise deals for businesses so you can provide an AAPNews account for your team, organisation or customers. Click here to contact AAP to sign-up your business today.

SEVEN DAYS FREE
Download the app
Download AAPNews on the App StoreDownload AAPNews on the Google Play Store